Project developed as a partnership between researchers from LabEEE and INPE for the development of future weather files for the 26 Brazilian state capitals plus the Federal District. With this project, it is expected to increase the availability of future weather files using more updated and computationally intensive methods to represent climate change across the national territory.
The work uses RCMs (Regional Climate Models) from the CORDEX (Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment) project with higher resolution (~25km). Thus, the weather files consider different regional climate models and two different emission scenarios (RCP2.6 - optimistic and RCP8.5 - pessimistic). The use of multiple regional models ensures that each scenario/city has 6 different TMY (Typical Meteorological Year) weather files, allowing for the consideration of uncertainties from these models in simulation results.
As an intermediate part of the process, approximately 100 years of climate data were developed for the period from 2000 to 2100, enabling future research on more extreme periods than those captured in the development of TMY-type files.
Researchers:
- Roberto Lamberts - Curriculum Lattes
- Ana Paula Melo - Curriculum Lattes
- Matheus Körbes Bracht - Curriculum Lattes
- Marcelo Salles Olinger - Curriculum Lattes
- Amanda F. Krelling - Curriculum Lattes
- André Rodrigues Gonçalves - Curriculum Lattes
Articles published:
Bracht, M. K., Olinger, M. S., Krelling, A. F., Gonçalves, A. R., Melo, A. P., & Lamberts, R. (2024). Multiple regional climate model projections to assess building thermal performance in Brazil: Understanding the uncertainty. Journal of Building Engineering, v. 88, p. 109248. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.
Files for download:
Bracht, M. K., Olinger, M. S., Krelling, A. F., Gonçalves, A. R., Melo, A. P., & Lamberts, R. (2023). Brazil - Future weather files for building energy simulation (1.0) [Data set]. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/